Within the Margin

The Presidency: 16 electoral votes
Georgia has made the journey from the old Democratic Solid South of the post-Reconstruction era to the mostly-solid Republican era of the post-Civil Rights era South to a highly-competitive era where it ranks in that most exclusive of categories: the modern presidential swing state. Republicans continue to dominate the Congressional and state legislative ranks thanks to maps they drew for themselves, but Democrats are back in contention for statewide races. They flipped two U.S. Senate seats in 2020 (technically January 5, 2021), one of them for an unexpired term that necessitated another election two years later. Dems won that one too, with Rafael Warnock earning a full term in a hotly-contested race with ample national attention. And of course, in 2020 Joe Biden became the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Georgia since Bill Clinton’s 1992 victory.