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House Race Capsules: Great Plains and Upper Midwest
There’s a handful of competitive races across this sprawling landscape, even with the Dakotas completely falling off the competitive map – at least in terms of major-party tussles – for the time being. Let’s start zoomed-out:
And below we go state-by-state.
Read more…House Race Capsules: Great Lakes
Alright, now we’re back in competitive territory, with some seats changing hands in both directions. Lots to unpack here thanks to an independent commission in Michigan, a court-selected map in Wisconsin, and a trio of partisan maps. First the overview:
And now on to the state-by-state breakdowns.
Read more…House Race Capsules: Border South (KY, MO, WV)
Kentucky, Missouri and West Virginia: a trio of ancestrally Democratic states without competitive Congressional races this cycle, though each got there a little bit differently. Here’s the zoomed-out look…
…and now let’s talk about each of the three states.
Read more…House Race Capsules: Southeast
No independent commissions and plenty of fresh Republican gerrymanders mean this group of states is badly lacking in competitive races. Let’s take a look at the map and then some quick state summaries.
Onto the individual states.
Read more…House Race Capsules: Florida
A look at the final forecast map before breaking down the competitive races in a state that seems to be hurtling away from Democrats in recent years, and never more than this cycle (click to enlarge map):
Let’s drill down into what’s happening here.
Read more…House Race Capsules: Virginia and the Carolinas
There is no longer a competitive district in the Palmetto State, alas, but Virginia and North Carolina offer some hotly contested and vitally important Congressional races.
First, a look at all three states, and then we’ll zoom in individually and present some analysis.
On to the states!
Read more…House Race Capsules: Mid-Atlantic (DE, MD, NJ, PA)
This set of states builds to a crescendo – nothing competitive in Delaware, then one notable race in Maryland, a trio in Jersey, and finally a quintet of notable contests in Pennsylvania.
We’ll start with a zoomed-out look at the final forecast map for the region:
Now, onto the individual states.
Read more…House Race Capsules: New England
We’ll start with a zoomed-out look at the final forecast map for the region:
Now, on to the competitive seats in each of New England’s states.
Read more…House Race Capsules: New York
Let’s get a look at the final forecast map before breaking down the competitive races:
Next, we’ll go district-by-district for the competitive seats.
Read more…
Within the Margin 