Within the Margin

In the regional updates to follow, I’ll walk folks through my thought process with where each of the competitive seats stand. First, the full map of what I anticipate are my final House ratings for 2022. After the map, a list of changes since my October 21 update.

Click through for interactive map. Remember, that very gray shade of blue is the Tilt Dem seats. No toss-ups here. The idea here is to tell you where my instincts say things are going, not to say, “ehhh, toss-up, who knows?”

I’ve made seventeen changes since my October 21 House map, shifting ten races toward the Republicans and seven toward the Democrats. In the table below, the background color reflects the direction of change in this update, not necessarily the party winning the seat. Click to enlarge as needed.